Update on Hurricane Newton
The next few days will be characterized by heavy rains and flash flooding as the remnants of Hurricane Newton push through the desert southwest. The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a Flash Flood Watch for Socorro County for Wednesday. Average rainfall from this storm is expected to be between 0.25 and 0.75 inches throughout the county, though local rainfall amounts may be significantly higher.
The Global Forecast Model (GFS) expects the storm to weaken as it crosses northwestern Mexico, Arizona, and then veer to the northeast through New Mexico, as frictional effects and an upper-level atmospheric trough move through the area. The tracks of these GFS model runs are shown in the figure.
Once Newton has dissipated and moved out of the state, a typical monsoonal pattern will resume. Temperatures will remain seasonal. Chances of showers and thunderstorms remain around 20% from Thursday into next week.